What is the Fed going to do? I remember people asking that question about Amazon. The stock today hit a new low under $3. They are people with families and kids to support. Altimeter Capital Management, LP ("Altimeter") is an SEC-registered investment adviser. How big is that market? Even excluding its large metaverse investment, Meta has gone from $15B in annual capex in 2018, 2019, and 2020 to $30B in annual capex in 2022. WAPNER: Speaking of going higher up, you see what interest rates are doing today after sitting in a tight spot, they've started to move to 11. I don't think stocks today reflect a great price discovery about where these stocks are going to be in six months, let alone two years, but I'm also eyes wide open to the fact that we could go lower before we go higher. And we are confident that your long-term investments in AI and the next generation of communications will continue to drive us all forward. With that said, we have a shortage of talent in Silicon Valley. While the increased AI investment was clearly well timed, Metas investment in the metaverse, while smaller than the AI investment, has gotten the most attention and has led to much confusion. Rapid mobile adoption helped market leaders blaze through the s-curve with astounding growth rates and a historically low cost of capital made investments in people and things the rational economic decision. Grab Reportedly Set to List in US Via SPAC Merger at $35 Billion Valuation browser. It's been a big drawdown this year. It was being purchased on the Shopify platform and people were using PayPal to check out. I don't think they can. Some companies require tremendous capex investment to maintain their existing business. Our best guess is that maintenance capex for Meta is less than $10B annually. On Oct. 11, Meta announced a new high-end VR headset, the Quest Pro. And so for us, it's about simplification, reduction of gross and making sure that you consolidate that what you own into your highest conviction ideas whether you're playing at home in your 401k or whether you're doing this professionally. And for us, we consolidate behind the things we have deep conviction in with confidence they're going to be worth more in the future. Over the last three years, Meta has also dramatically increased its capital expenses. We have not made this difficult decision lightly, but after thorough, serious, and objective analysis, we feel compelled to act. About Altimeter Capital Altimeter is a global investment firm managing both public and private funds focused on the airline, travel, technology, internet, software, and consumer sectors. 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Grab's SPAC Vehicle Altimeter Near Record Low After 28% Dive Are you as optimistic today as you were in months past? So were Shopify's and so were PayPal. Altimeter said annual free cash flow can be doubled to $40 billion (roughly Rs. We did not see this talk of 10 rate hikes and we certainly didn't see a war developing in Europe. Altimeter Capital Fund Manager Profile | Preqin The metaverse is a shared virtual environment with aspects of online gaming, augmented reality, and more that people can access via the Internet. As you know, we have attempted to work collaboratively with the current Board to meaningfully improve governance, Board composition, and oversight. Altimeter Capital Management, LLC a Portfolio Activity as reported in the most recent 13F form published on Dec 31, 2022. You would simply do R&D quietly and investors would focus on the core business and the breakthroughs in AI. Moreover, Meta has industry leading capabilities in key future technologies like artificial intelligence and immersive 3d that will help drive new products and future growth. Digital Markets Act (DMA): How the EU Law Will Work, Mark Zuckerberg: Founder and CEO of Meta (formerly Facebook), Crowdfunding: What It Is, How It Works, Popular Websites, FTX: An Overview of the Exchange and Its Collapse, New Prices for Meta Quest 2s 256GB SKU + Meta Quest Pro, Time to Get Fit an Open Letter from Altimeter to Mark Zuckerberg (and the Meta Board of Directors), Meta Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Results. If multiples expand then you have even more upside. It said Grab is expected to raise between. That could in fact become a tailwind as we get to the back half of the year. I think, or inflation, I think they're behind the curve on recession. Meta Shareholder Writes Critical Open Letter, Saying the Company Needs We'll see you soon. 2023 Benzinga.com. It's a better version of Messenger. We were wrong. As you know we entered the year with a big bond short, we've now covered that bond short because we don't think that it's possible for the Fed to raise rates 7,10, 12 times as some people think this year. With Snowflake, the question as to whether or not that business is going to compound, I think is not one that many people will debate. Warren Buffett's: Berkshire Hathaway. Grab to list in US via $40 bln merger with Altimeter Growth Meta stock is down over 61% in 2022. Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. Like many other companies in a zero rate world Meta has drifted into the land of excess too many people, too many ideas, too little urgency. Meta needs to re-build confidence with investors, employees and the tech community in order to attract, inspire, and retain the best people in the world. Our six nominees have the necessary skills, leadership abilities, and relevant experience to catalyze a United course change and to help the Company realize its immense potential. Please refer to the section on cookies in our Website Privacy Policy Tech SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. 2 prices further upsized $400 million If they do it, I think the stock can be up over 50% between now and the end of the year. In the last 18 months, Meta stock is down 55% (compared to an average of 19% for its big-tech peers). PAR Capital Management, Inc. Do Not Sell My Personal Data/Privacy Policy. So, its with some hesitation, but significant conviction, I am sharing an open letter strongly encouraging Meta to streamline and focus its path forward. We know Meta has more reach, more relevance, and more incredible opportunities for growth than almost any platform on the planet. It will get there three years from now because it's free cash flow margin will continue to expand and if you just get it, give it the multiples that are currently in the market, right, that have already drawn down on free cash flow, you get to that 3X that I quoted. Ro $500.0M. 2,06,700 crore) a year and capped annual investment in the metaverse to $5 billion (roughly Rs . This is a business it's grown, it's trading at 28 times free cash flow with 20% growth, that will continue to compound. The purpose of this letter is to confirm our adherence as a Protocol Participant to the ISDA 2021 SBS Top-Up Protocol Agreement as published by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. on February 25, 2021 (the Protocol Agreement). Altimeter Capital Management partner Chris Conforti plans to leave the investment firm, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Its competitor or not its competitor, its closest comp in Southeast Asia Sea Limited is also down over 70%. "Meta Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Results," Page 10. They just announced that they're going to be profit, full company profitable by 2023. Over the last three years, Meta has also dramatically increased its capital expenses. When exactly did you determine that the Board was so inadequate as to need four new directors, all at once, and without an annual meeting or a stockholder vote? "New Prices for Meta Quest 2s 256GB SKU + Meta Quest Pro. Everybody knows we've been in this company for a long time. Following is a link to video on CNBC.com: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/03/14/we-could-go-lower-before-we-go-higher-in-stocks-says-altimeter-capitalas-ceo-brad-gerstner.html. Finally, Prudential PLC lifted its . ISDA fosters safe and efficient derivatives markets to facilitate You probably know you should capitalize proper nouns and the first word of every sentence. Mar 11, 2021 3:07 PM EST. To experience the full functionality of the ISDA website, it is necessary to enable Javascript in your Now you didn't address any of the iOS changes and the revenue hit that Facebook is is assuming from that and those are legitimate changes. At the end of the second quarter this year, Altimeter Capital held more than 2 million shares of Meta. We think both of those are solvable. Altimeter Capital Management is a hedge fund with 17 clients and discretionary assets under management (AUM) of $17,950,309,162 (Form ADV from 2022-05-27). Moreover, Meta has industry leading capabilities in key future technologies like artificial intelligence and immersive 3d that will help drive new products and future growth. Meta changed its company name from Facebook. Moreover, I am a strong supporter of founder-led companies especially when they have your successful track record of seeing the future. So we've taken up our exposure, we've consolidated behind our five or six best ideas, we don't run leverage and so the bet for our LPs, I'm the largest LP in the fund. The facts are startling. You can find out more about our use, change your default settings, and withdraw your consent at any time with effect for the future by visiting Cookies Settings, which can also be found in the footer of the site. After all, why not hire more people and invest in more things when the cost of capital was near zero and growth seemed unlimited? From Grand Teton to Universal Speech Translator to Make-A-Video, we are witnessing a Cambrian moment in AI, and Meta is no doubt well positioned to help invent and monetize that future. 'Super-Sized and Terrifying': Zuckerberg's $100B Metaverse Gamble . But I think if you have a time horizon over the course of the one to three years, we see a lot of stocks in our universe that we not only think are going to end the year higher, but we think are going to be multiples higher as we look out over the next two to three years. Drew Angerer | Getty Images News | Getty Images, Meta needs to focus on its core business, not the Metaverse, says Sand Hill's Brenda Vingiello. Brad Gerstner's Phone Number and Email Last Update. With the gains posted on March 3, Meta Platforms shares are up 54% this year. As such, we think Meta company should cap its metaverse investments to no more than $5B per year with more discrete targets and measures of success, as opposed to todays much more ambitious and open-ended strategy. WAPNER: We're back now with Altimeter Capital's Brad Gerstner hanging out with us at "Overtime" today, You know, we talked about the magnitude Brad by which some of these stocks have come down and I'm looking at the, listen, it's not just Meta, obviously. As such, we think during this period of growth transition and economic uncertainty, the company should decrease capex by at least $5B and maintain this discipline until revenues re-accelerate bringing our capex as a percentage of revenue more in line with our large cap peers. The Meta investor recommends a plan to get the company's "mojo back.". But remember, Facebook's not just sitting there with his hands in the air saying oh my goodness, what can we do in a world where Apple wants to flex its monopolistic muscle and steal all of our advertisers. As always, happy to connect with you and your team. In his open letter, Gerstner asked Meta to cap its expenditure on the metaverse to $5 billion a year from the current announced investment of $10-15 billion. Altimeter and PAR believe these experienced professionals can bring meaningful experience, objective oversight, and powerful change to United. About Kevin Wang. You would simply do R&D quietly and investors would focus on the core business and the breakthroughs in AI. 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Link to 13F filings: SEC filings Right? Samooha, a startup developing a "cross-cloud" data collaboration platform, today announced that it raised $12.5 million in a funding tranche backed by Altimeter Capital and Snowflake Ventures . Right if the Fed raises rates 10 or 12 times given the demand destruction and the slowdown already underway in this country, we will be in a big recession come fall. They may never get back to the levels at which they traded before. What is the metaverse and why are billions of dollars being spent on it? Bruce Berkowitz's: Fairholme Capital Management. The vast majority of the capex has been an essential and high-returning investment in data centers, Nvidia GPUs and other AI resources to solidify the companys position as one of worlds leaders in AI. Altimeter Capital Management partner Chris Conforti plans to leave the investment firm, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Time to Get Fit an Open Letter from Altimeter to Mark Zuckerberg (and the Meta Board of Directors) | by Brad Gerstner @altcap | Medium 500 Apologies, but something went wrong on our end.. Altimeter is focused on technology investment, and has found multi-billion-dollar success. Conforti plans to join a new firm as a co-founder with. That stuff was being advertised on Instagram. It massively distorted multiples on the way in and it's massively distorting multiples on the way out. 3,30,700 crore) if it cut headcount by at least 20 percent, trimmed capital expenditure by at least $5 billion (roughly Rs. Nobody debates whether or not this company is going to be more valuable in the future. Industry Trends on 4000+ Stocks, Pro Investing by Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, Canara Robeco Equity Hybrid Fund Direct-Growth, Cut workforce, spending on metaverse, key investor tells Mark Zuckerberg. Perhaps it was the re-naming of the company to Meta that caused the world to conclude that you were spending 100% of your time on Reality Labs instead of AI or the core business. Meta didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. Skip to main content. In a single quarter, they added 1.4 billion. Ultimately, we and the Board necessarily must share the same objective: maximizing long-term value creation for United's stockholders, customers, and employees. Got a confidential news tip? TEORIA ECONOMICA Y SOCIOPOLITICA DESCRIPTORES MNIMOS.pdf Chase Coleman's: Tiger Global Management. Let me tell you the bear case on Facebook, okay, the bear case on Facebook and other ad models like Google is that we're running headlong into a massive recession. 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Background [ edit] In 2008, Brad Gerstner founded Altimeter Capital in Boston, Massachusetts. The full text of the stockholder letter to the United Board follows: March 8, 2016. Right. CNBC Exclusive: CNBC Transcript: Altimeter Capital Founder & CEO Brad Gerstner Speaks with CNBC's Scott Wapner on "Closing Bell: Overtime" Today Published Mon, Mar 14 20225:56 PM EDT Share. Comprender el funcionamiento social, poltico, econmico, cultural y natural de la sociedad a fin de reflexionar, hacer propuestas y asumir compromiso en torno a las polticas de desarrollo nacional, local y regional en el mbito del respeto de los derechos humanos, la integracin econmica y la convivencia social, bajo una concepcin de desarrollo humano sostenible. It's also a vote of less confidence about the company's ambitions in the world of virtual and augmented reality. Meta. On top of that we had supply chain challenges. They're fearful about the war. We know they have high EBITDA margins on the rideshare business which is dominant across the region. Instead, they grew at 106%. If they just take the incremental cash they're going to generate this year and buy back shares that's 6% of the company Scott, let alone the 50 billion in cash they have sitting on the balance sheet. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. And what is going to be the resolution to the situation in the Ukraine? Chicago, IL 60606 I've got some people including a guy coming up in a little while Mike Wilson who suggested at this point bonds may be a better deal than stocks. Their last reported 13F filing for Q4 2022 included $3,652,571,000 in managed 13F securities and a top 10 holdings concentration of 99.95%. The company has lost investor confidence as it ramped up spending and pivoted to the metaverse, the technology-focused hedge fund with a 0.1% stake said, and suggested a three-step plan. Meta stock is down over 61% in 2022. As you know, we are long-term shareholders. And I appreciate you being with me on the very first "Overtime" show. Share Your Design Ideas, New JerseysMurphy Defends $10 Billion Rainy Day Fund as States Economy Slows, This Week in Crypto: Ukraine War, Marathon Digital, FTX. He also asked Zuckerberg to cut down on capex and employee expenses. Altimeter Capital's Brad Gerstner Issues Open Letter to Meta (META) and Mark Zuckerberg Article Related Articles ( 4) Stock Quotes (1) October 24, 2022 8:20 AM EDT Tweet Share E-mail Get. Southeast Asian Superapp Grab Could Set SPAC Record About Altimeter Capital Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. After several years of growing tensions, the potential for a reset under Australia's new Labor government is in question as trade sanctions remain and diplomatic disputes persist. What is the rate of increase? I don't think there's any chance that the Fed is going to raise rates 10 times this year. "Time to Get Fit an Open Letter from Altimeter to Mark Zuckerberg (and the Meta Board of Directors).". We have little doubt investors and others would happily support scaling up these investments as the ROI becomes more tangible even if still long-term. And as a result, you know, last year we held up better than most because we own high-quality stocks, and we were short lower quality stocks. Unlock your 30 days free access to ETPrime now. The same is true for Microsoft, right? I mean you have defended it at every turn from the issues that the company has had you you defended Mark Zuckerberg, you've defended Sheryl Sandberg and you you did it quite loudly on this program.
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